[{"id":"0x26c10c27cde58e2d6214d65ab562d8142d34723b3b6ec3f40836d24f6d22dfc9","slug":"fifwc-usa-par-2026-06-12-usa","title":"Will United States win on 2026-06-12?","description":"In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 12, 2026\nIf United States wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/soccer ball-bba4025f77.png","created_at":"2026-04-06T22:18:55.361174Z","volume_24h":"12044563.095443923","volume_total":"13303918.011716058","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":"351718","position_in_group":"United States","last_yes_price":"0.4700","last_no_price":"0.5400","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"1053697017401072331517873943000159665286188444438499834342450614809920055961","no_token_id":"103762070253474724327642675318359667052520958947231343630898390646099257156740","neg_risk":true,"sports_market_type":"moneyline","group_item_threshold":0,"fee_rate_pct":0.03,"group":{"id":"351718","slug":"fifwc-usa-par-2026-06-12"},"is_tradable":true,"series_slug":"soccer-fifwc","series_id":"11433","series_title":"FIFA World Cup","series_recurrence":"daily","series_type":"single","event_start_date":"2026-04-06T22:27:03.503961Z","event_end_date":"2026-06-13T01:00:00Z","tags":["fifa-world-cup","games","soccer","sports"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.01"},{"id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","slug":"us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-june-15-2026-734-856-129","title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-yYlzv70Hi7j9.jpg","created_at":"2026-05-15T18:55:13.319256Z","volume_24h":"4256929.4967389945","volume_total":"34317483.532675706","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":"357807","position_in_group":"June 15","last_yes_price":"0.1810","last_no_price":"0.8220","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"5904694069529905826680225678119990013628860098514322777023141327768111791078","no_token_id":"59855952379545476461266875939089074481171378466995213858930892770855011813551","neg_risk":false,"sports_market_type":null,"group_item_threshold":11,"fee_rate_pct":null,"group":{"id":"357807","slug":"us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by"},"is_tradable":true,"tags":["10-point","agreement","ceasefire","diplomacy-ceasefire","geopolitics","iran","peace-deal","politics","trump","trump-iran"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"no_eligibility":{"status":"limited","effective_cap_usd":141.6},"tick_size":"0.001"},{"id":"0x9be56371f6a29d12769b2f196847ee825b9585ebb8bfa042136be031b081eba1","slug":"will-netherlands-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-739","title":"Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","description":"This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/world-cup-winner-netherlands-flag-20260603-192743.png","created_at":"2025-07-02T16:54:45.066939Z","volume_24h":"2469645.735640989","volume_total":"43464675.14726498","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":"30615","position_in_group":"Netherlands","last_yes_price":"0.0490","last_no_price":"0.9530","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"55935183786009449883683540312350046975246300613283087403691731856990327029236","no_token_id":"103711573894614472510743687764792452240919804104728889027222697502832804498206","neg_risk":true,"sports_market_type":"moneyline","group_item_threshold":7,"fee_rate_pct":0.03,"group":{"id":"30615","slug":"world-cup-winner"},"is_tradable":true,"tags":["2026-fifa-world-cup","fifa-world-cup","hide-from-new","soccer","sports","wc-tournament-futures"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.001"},{"id":"0x7976b8dbacf9077eb1453a62bcefd6ab2df199acd28aad276ff0d920d6992892","slug":"will-spain-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-963","title":"Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","description":"This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/world-cup-winner-spain-flag-20260603-192743.png","created_at":"2025-07-02T16:54:40.860413Z","volume_24h":"2464611.6016269955","volume_total":"41743483.44778711","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":"30615","position_in_group":"Spain","last_yes_price":"0.1690","last_no_price":"0.8320","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"4394372887385518214471608448209527405727552777602031099972143344338178308080","no_token_id":"112680630004798425069810935278212000865453267506345451433803052322987302357330","neg_risk":true,"sports_market_type":"moneyline","group_item_threshold":0,"fee_rate_pct":0.03,"group":{"id":"30615","slug":"world-cup-winner"},"is_tradable":true,"tags":["2026-fifa-world-cup","fifa-world-cup","hide-from-new","soccer","sports","wc-tournament-futures"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.001"},{"id":"0x876047c0df88886ddbe468fe811bc75a667da45a552d798e626ecfc5c60d52d9","slug":"us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-june-12-2482","title":"US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.\n\nA qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:\n\n1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.\n\n2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.\n\nStatements which merely acknowledge, reaffirm, or describe the current ceasefire as remaining in effect, or which outline further negotiations or de-escalation measures, without announcing a new extension period, or successor agreement under which the ceasefire will continue, will not qualify.\n\nThe following would qualify:\n- President Trump announcing that “the ceasefire has been extended for another 60 days.”\n- An official U.S. statement announcing that “the United States and Iran have agreed to extend the ceasefire framework while negotiations continue.”\n- President Trump’s April 21, 2026 announcement extending the ceasefire “until the Iranian negotiators could reach a unified proposal.”\n- An announcement that the US and Iran have agreed to a new temporary framework under which the ceasefire would continue as Iran gradually reopens the Strait of Hormuz and the United States begins to unfreeze Iranian assets would qualify.\n\nThe following would not qualify:\n- Statements that the ceasefire merely “remains in effect” or “continues to hold,” without announcing a new extension, renewal, or successor agreement.\n- Statements that “the ceasefire will remain in effect while negotiations continue,” without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, or a new framework or deal has been reached\n- Statements that negotiations are progressing, that talks are ongoing, or that the parties are “getting closer” to a deal, without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, renewed, or continued under a new agreement.\n\nAn overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a qualifying extension or successor agreement has been definitively established will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThis market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the U.S. government and will not require confirmation from Iran. ","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-26-nCyCTKk2gQe7.jpg","created_at":"2026-06-02T18:53:17.343944Z","volume_24h":"2428022.0301919966","volume_total":"5024566.682151973","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":"517606","position_in_group":"June 12","last_yes_price":"0.0320","last_no_price":"0.9760","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"12975641280332913765361083240103757870434481724884622075762050226392680586754","no_token_id":"2080362735197986135938321516231869859533432931806780564132551908014354861739","neg_risk":false,"sports_market_type":null,"group_item_threshold":13,"fee_rate_pct":null,"group":{"id":"517606","slug":"us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by"},"is_tradable":true,"tags":["diplomacy-ceasefire","geopolitics","iran","peace-deal","politics","trump-iran"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"limited","effective_cap_usd":100.1},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.01"},{"id":"0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f","slug":"will-argentina-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-245","title":"Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","description":"This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/world-cup-winner-argentina-flag-20260603-192743.png","created_at":"2025-07-02T16:54:43.302408Z","volume_24h":"2346408.2923839977","volume_total":"38808512.99092478","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":"30615","position_in_group":"Argentina","last_yes_price":"0.0790","last_no_price":"0.9220","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"18812649149814341758733697580460697418474693998558159483117100240528657629879","no_token_id":"115428153746996892211798999366308897078723117634059783423375188043903703749062","neg_risk":true,"sports_market_type":"moneyline","group_item_threshold":4,"fee_rate_pct":0.03,"group":{"id":"30615","slug":"world-cup-winner"},"is_tradable":true,"tags":["2026-fifa-world-cup","fifa-world-cup","hide-from-new","soccer","sports","wc-tournament-futures"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.001"},{"id":"0x1595b4818eeb1ea1e0bec5de6f057218e557feee9b405a0e930d290384fa1d16","slug":"will-germany-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-467","title":"Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","description":"This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/world-cup-winner-germany-flag-20260603-192743.png","created_at":"2025-07-02T16:54:43.890444Z","volume_24h":"1998590.6574230036","volume_total":"40154511.33964611","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":"30615","position_in_group":"Germany","last_yes_price":"0.0520","last_no_price":"0.9490","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"81739002353269632749850710185641576213562066971072676369728657545679630163887","no_token_id":"45484070731786948288366703334552551439356529561722304542938873238430842810537","neg_risk":true,"sports_market_type":"moneyline","group_item_threshold":5,"fee_rate_pct":0.03,"group":{"id":"30615","slug":"world-cup-winner"},"is_tradable":true,"tags":["2026-fifa-world-cup","fifa-world-cup","hide-from-new","soccer","sports","wc-tournament-futures"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.001"},{"id":"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","slug":"us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-june-30-2026-837-641-896-877-363-892-537-597","title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-yYlzv70Hi7j9.jpg","created_at":"2026-04-12T20:47:43.363632Z","volume_24h":"1983852.9089849994","volume_total":"26960114.008248135","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":"357807","position_in_group":"June 30","last_yes_price":"0.4200","last_no_price":"0.5900","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"31867385211987925701696042012772036156561382644688734856312468506547392739862","no_token_id":"34730098823282204056880725250863591694415190633560416900548276632326632294207","neg_risk":false,"sports_market_type":null,"group_item_threshold":12,"fee_rate_pct":null,"group":{"id":"357807","slug":"us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by"},"is_tradable":true,"tags":["10-point","agreement","ceasefire","diplomacy-ceasefire","geopolitics","iran","peace-deal","politics","trump","trump-iran"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.01"},{"id":"0x4f3421fb2daf5cca7430ed8d8132463963081572d75434393a1808fdb8829fe8","slug":"will-portugal-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-912","title":"Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","description":"This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/world-cup-winner-portugal-flag-20260603-192743.png","created_at":"2025-07-02T16:54:44.492744Z","volume_24h":"1946190.618347001","volume_total":"43419600.090597406","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":"30615","position_in_group":"Portugal","last_yes_price":"0.1060","last_no_price":"0.8950","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"45415751658241142530386585138386640503488308219341470020075667342738719018629","no_token_id":"31940783580344558651011323787577288681658737625185216525249046282994042503801","neg_risk":true,"sports_market_type":"moneyline","group_item_threshold":6,"fee_rate_pct":0.03,"group":{"id":"30615","slug":"world-cup-winner"},"is_tradable":true,"tags":["2026-fifa-world-cup","fifa-world-cup","hide-from-new","soccer","sports","wc-tournament-futures"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.001"},{"id":"0x9b6fef249040fd17e9c107955b37ac2c3e923509b6b0ff01cc463a331ddeb894","slug":"will-france-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-924","title":"Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","description":"This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/world-cup-winner-france-flag-20260603-192743.png","created_at":"2025-07-02T16:54:42.081862Z","volume_24h":"1927812.068561006","volume_total":"47607348.65247924","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":"30615","position_in_group":"France","last_yes_price":"0.1610","last_no_price":"0.8400","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"108233603819467706476318984012158651931658302669301887462181073562758483842092","no_token_id":"32270411694523539495262303868629477861017829722282576458031815333486368239544","neg_risk":true,"sports_market_type":"moneyline","group_item_threshold":2,"fee_rate_pct":0.03,"group":{"id":"30615","slug":"world-cup-winner"},"is_tradable":true,"tags":["2026-fifa-world-cup","fifa-world-cup","hide-from-new","soccer","sports","wc-tournament-futures"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.001"},{"id":"0x375409bc5eeeff961e82b479caeccc20f33d15738e5bce1186d628aa3d9dfb1f","slug":"will-england-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-937","title":"Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","description":"This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/world-cup-winner-england-flag-20260603-192743.png","created_at":"2025-07-02T16:54:41.473096Z","volume_24h":"1685254.5804169963","volume_total":"35696646.23914059","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":"30615","position_in_group":"England","last_yes_price":"0.0970","last_no_price":"0.9040","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"115556263888245616435851357148058235707004733438163639091106356867234218207169","no_token_id":"77121637225348873006259930776623502125079210522997384841464684944292365296940","neg_risk":true,"sports_market_type":"moneyline","group_item_threshold":1,"fee_rate_pct":0.03,"group":{"id":"30615","slug":"world-cup-winner"},"is_tradable":true,"tags":["2026-fifa-world-cup","fifa-world-cup","hide-from-new","soccer","sports","wc-tournament-futures"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.001"},{"id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","slug":"will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30","title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran. This could occur via revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only qualifies if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign power.\n\nRoutine political events such as elections, reforms, or leadership succession do not qualify. Internal coups or power shifts that preserve the Islamic Republic’s core structures also do not qualify. Only a clear break in continuity—such as a new provisional government, revolutionary council, or constitution replacing the Islamic Republic will qualify.\n\nPartial loss of territory or challenges from rebel or exile groups will not qualify unless the Islamic Republic no longer administers the majority of the Iranian population within Iran. \n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. ","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-in-2025-YLXIniTmQs4q.png","created_at":"2025-12-17T22:44:43.240223Z","volume_24h":"1613447.2795530006","volume_total":"54247689.458573446","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":null,"position_in_group":"","last_yes_price":"0.0060","last_no_price":"0.9950","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"38397507750621893057346880033441136112987238933685677349709401910643842844855","no_token_id":"95949957895141858444199258452803633110472396604599808168788254125381075552218","neg_risk":false,"sports_market_type":null,"group_item_threshold":0,"fee_rate_pct":null,"is_tradable":true,"series_slug":"iran-regime","series_id":"10134","series_title":"iran regime","series_image":"","series_recurrence":"monthly","series_type":"single","event_start_date":"2025-12-17T23:04:55.928775Z","event_end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","tags":["geopolitics","iran","iranian-leadership-regime","israel","khamenei","middle-east","politics","reza-pahlavi","world"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"limited","effective_cap_usd":113.25},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.001"},{"id":"0x30d55d8124ee1e12dabe89201badc45669b81dff69e4ce44d961f32878ec178a","slug":"will-brazil-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-183","title":"Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","description":"This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/world-cup-winner-brazil-flag-20260603-192743.png","created_at":"2025-07-02T16:54:42.713854Z","volume_24h":"1503126.2543069983","volume_total":"37391584.40351677","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":"30615","position_in_group":"Brazil","last_yes_price":"0.0840","last_no_price":"0.9170","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"27576533317283401577758999384642760405921738493660383550832555714312627457443","no_token_id":"52986718774908357330412653486471347449818893503063830313445318937088822580057","neg_risk":true,"sports_market_type":"moneyline","group_item_threshold":3,"fee_rate_pct":0.03,"group":{"id":"30615","slug":"world-cup-winner"},"is_tradable":true,"tags":["2026-fifa-world-cup","fifa-world-cup","hide-from-new","soccer","sports","wc-tournament-futures"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.001"},{"id":"0x86f102a31cf4b12dbcf31ae8c62c526c0b538d5b7eb1af5947d0b0378522f926","slug":"fifwc-usa-par-2026-06-12-par","title":"Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?","description":"In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 12, 2026\nIf Paraguay wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/soccer ball-bba4025f77.png","created_at":"2026-04-06T22:18:55.918346Z","volume_24h":"1185143.3045850075","volume_total":"1420760.709125991","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":"351718","position_in_group":"Paraguay","last_yes_price":"0.2400","last_no_price":"0.7700","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"61818169216515152409825014521551448207788109103141434403938162619298245828983","no_token_id":"102594678158116333791216414391276982990377500165768336344198363542304846610288","neg_risk":true,"sports_market_type":"moneyline","group_item_threshold":2,"fee_rate_pct":0.03,"group":{"id":"351718","slug":"fifwc-usa-par-2026-06-12"},"is_tradable":true,"series_slug":"soccer-fifwc","series_id":"11433","series_title":"FIFA World Cup","series_recurrence":"daily","series_type":"single","event_start_date":"2026-04-06T22:27:03.503961Z","event_end_date":"2026-06-13T01:00:00Z","tags":["fifa-world-cup","games","soccer","sports"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.01"},{"id":"0x46666ceb4c63814f38a8c83784ae10e1c2e1ef52e2db648372bd86dea521cf64","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15","title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 15, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","created_at":"2026-05-25T16:32:00.651331Z","volume_24h":"230835.96834500018","volume_total":"7237438.62814113","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":null,"position_in_group":"","last_yes_price":"0.0040","last_no_price":"0.9970","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"64982649349833799070726872985810077351223251203012444487225704868921642973394","no_token_id":"65144178907793669371949391247656095165122348712082207938504771331186086077713","neg_risk":false,"sports_market_type":null,"group_item_threshold":0,"fee_rate_pct":null,"is_tradable":true,"series_slug":"hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal","series_id":"11492","series_title":"Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal","series_image":"","series_recurrence":"monthly","series_type":"single","event_start_date":"2026-05-26T05:16:54.399594Z","event_end_date":"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","tags":["economy","geopolitics","hormuz","iran","oil","ships","strait-of-hormuz","transit"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"limited","effective_cap_usd":2.11},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.001"},{"id":"0xdde06286a7b9464d344f410ab0b3d2ebc6469904e72c27fd982f65fdbf78768d","slug":"will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-june-2026-meeting","title":"Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?","description":"The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png","created_at":"2025-12-10T16:57:53.046799Z","volume_24h":"1025350.5111989991","volume_total":"16156740.212021075","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":"101772","position_in_group":"25 bps decrease","last_yes_price":"0.0050","last_no_price":"0.9960","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"65193234666628291664907888364936366210889305490897648116746073820519263548476","no_token_id":"28290293140018107764072370767749010110409017615323596573647425138985988593200","neg_risk":true,"sports_market_type":null,"group_item_threshold":1,"fee_rate_pct":0.05,"group":{"id":"101772","slug":"fed-decision-in-june-825"},"is_tradable":true,"series_slug":"fomc","series_id":"35","series_title":"FOMC","series_image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powel+stern.png","series_recurrence":"monthly","series_type":"single","event_start_date":"2025-12-10T21:50:37.376667Z","event_end_date":"2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","tags":["economic-policy","economy","fed","fed-rates","fomc","jerome-powell","politics"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"limited","effective_cap_usd":424.74},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.001"},{"id":"0x5efa976ebe94080bbda7e45605333ff8f30156cc91604d66c41eb52fd3e25f3e","slug":"israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-june-30-2026-262","title":"Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-S6NwYL3MbEka.jpg","created_at":"2026-04-16T23:36:06.059816Z","volume_24h":"911800.5727060008","volume_total":"4459581.507380019","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":null,"position_in_group":"June 30","last_yes_price":"0.1170","last_no_price":"0.8840","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"5052978505742109596729920389479817407677796482555237481771010048052329486595","no_token_id":"72918554574028548774915660517792871241427948855614765070193766173081772203065","neg_risk":false,"sports_market_type":null,"group_item_threshold":3,"fee_rate_pct":null,"is_tradable":true,"tags":["diplomacy-ceasefire","geopolitics","hezbollah","iran","israel","israel-x-iran","lebanon","peace-deal"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"limited","effective_cap_usd":29.23},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.001"},{"id":"0xa70fc3695a65833b91b45df6db6015096f3e1471b70352ca411b4209010e7633","slug":"us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30","title":"US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAgreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-iran-nuclear-deal-in-2025-3rpCC4Kl23Lc.jpg","created_at":"2025-12-17T20:59:21.103877Z","volume_24h":"866794.7465729996","volume_total":"8369723.003156033","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":null,"position_in_group":"","last_yes_price":"0.4500","last_no_price":"0.5600","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"68283792174293775430535402015214113701251372409839518501034763677920213819299","no_token_id":"10690391194840875541563517589463912963575786539307433160985752952931887140267","neg_risk":false,"sports_market_type":null,"group_item_threshold":0,"fee_rate_pct":null,"is_tradable":true,"series_slug":"nuclear-deal","series_id":"10146","series_title":"nuclear deal","series_image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-issue-an-executive-order-on-february-14-IRIODX3MAqwP.jpg","series_recurrence":"monthly","series_type":"single","event_start_date":"2025-12-17T22:54:48.22297Z","event_end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","tags":["diplomacy-ceasefire","geopolitics","iran","israel","middle-east","negotiations","nuclear","politics","world"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.01"},{"id":"0x213dcedb14691c57620baeb8dd87d2d493e7ff900f0f6ae970e2daba8396afb9","slug":"mlb-lad-cws-2026-06-12","title":"Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox","description":"In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for June 12 at 7:40PM ET:\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Los Angeles Dodgers\" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Chicago White Sox\" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.\n\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Repetitive-markets/MLB.jpg","created_at":"2026-06-06T13:00:27.875369Z","volume_24h":"855979.1207259997","volume_total":"856558.9947790003","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":"565773","position_in_group":"","last_yes_price":"0.5900","last_no_price":"0.4200","p1_label":"Los Angeles Dodgers","p2_label":"Chicago White Sox","p1_short":"Los Angeles ","p2_short":"Chicago Whit","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"109018157309963212333532317731019573846806517658783552766663177820112759730361","no_token_id":"64689448713467610616114366033929826210635591051181591320230914154593787134800","neg_risk":false,"sports_market_type":"moneyline","group_item_threshold":0,"fee_rate_pct":0.03,"group":{"id":"565773","slug":"mlb-lad-cws-2026-06-12"},"is_tradable":true,"series_slug":"mlb","series_id":"3","series_title":"MLB","series_image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Repetitive-markets/MLB.jpg","series_recurrence":"daily","series_type":"single","event_start_date":"2026-06-06T13:16:02.981453Z","event_end_date":"2026-06-19T23:40:00Z","tags":["baseball","games","mlb","sports"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"no_eligibility":{"status":"limited","effective_cap_usd":401.46},"tick_size":"0.01"},{"id":"0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951","slug":"will-roberto-snchez-palomino-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","title":"Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","description":"General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) ","avatar_url":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-roberto-snchez-palomino-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election-mF4hJyaSxWsY.jpg","created_at":"2025-12-16T10:56:27.054695Z","volume_24h":"730950.984997","volume_total":"32308647.12398595","status":"ACTIVE","group_id":"106520","position_in_group":"Roberto Sánchez Palomino","last_yes_price":"0.0220","last_no_price":"0.9810","p1_label":"Yes","p2_label":"No","p1_short":"Yes","p2_short":"No","winning_side":null,"winning_label":null,"yes_token_id":"40073700561695212653451049120779209383948898865772011302940523990213422296817","no_token_id":"46581835831525280126714747999686373127429627947256474439860896007472960168455","neg_risk":true,"sports_market_type":null,"group_item_threshold":21,"fee_rate_pct":0.04,"group":{"id":"106520","slug":"peru-presidential-election-winner"},"is_tradable":true,"tags":["elections","global-elections","main-election","peru","peru-elections","politics","world-elections"],"yes_eligibility":{"status":"limited","effective_cap_usd":165.73},"no_eligibility":{"status":"full","effective_cap_usd":497.6},"tick_size":"0.001"}]